On this election eve I fired up the old on-semi-permanent-hiatus page as a place to park some general predictions about the next four years.

0) Obama is going to win. I mean seriously. Romney was perhaps the worst candidate in modern history. This result was more or less foretold before the nomination.

Now for the real predictions:

Domestic Policy:

1) Obama will cut Social Security and Medicare. He’s been pushing for a ‘Grand Bargain’ on ‘Entitlements’ for most of his first term. As a second-term incumbent he doesn’t have to worry about re-election, so this time he’ll make it happen.

2) Watch the Lame Duck Session. This ‘fiscal cliff’ thing that has so many liberals betting on Obama? He’ll use it to betray them instead. Watch for massive cuts to social spending to preserve the Pentagon budget as much as possible.

3) More fracking, more drilling, more carbon. The next four years will see a massive increase in all the dirty fossil fuels Obama can help yank out of the ground. ‘Clean’ coal, fracked natural gas, oil drilling, especially offshore. No action whatsoever will be taken on global warming. Which brings us to…

4) Keystone XL. The Obama admin wants it, the environmental lobby hates it. He won’t need them anymore, starting November 7th.

5) The ACA will fail. The parts that deployed early already have, like the high risk pools. It will only get worse once the Exchanges come online. Now that the Supreme Court cleared the way for states NOT to expand Medicaid, all you really get is a mandate to buy lousy insurance from the same murderous companies that sold lousy insurance you couldn’t afford before. Only the government will pay for some of the premiums. Wheee!

How will it fail? Two possibilities. 5a: It will be extensively revised to try and make it look like a success. Probably by dramatically cutting its scope. or 5b: It will not be modified, and become so hideously unpopular that it will be repealed.

6) Marijuana. Obama will fight tooth and nail to block either expansion of medical marijuana or legalization. More raids on dispensaries, more families destroyed.

7) Immigration. Obama has ramped up the rate of deportations far beyond Bush, and this will continue.

Foreign Policy

9) Undeclared Wars will continue in Obama’s second term. We already have them in Pakistan, Yemen, Somalia. We’re still digging out of the mess in Libya. Mali’s coming soon, but first…

10) Iran. Our crippling sanctions have already deprived millions of Iranians of life-saving medicine, but in his second term, Obama will escalate. We’re already conducting terrorist bombings and cyberwar, a real hot war can’t be too far behind. Israel may do it for us, with tacit permission. Or maybe we’ll just starve them into submission, but I’m guessing actual bombs will fall.

11) Ecuador. We’ll find a way to make them pay if they don’t hand over Julian Assange. Guaranteed.

12) South America in General. Might not happen in the next four years, but the US is going to punish South America for voting actual leftists into power.

13) The Drug War. Tens of thousands dead in Mexico won’t stop us from fueling the hemisphere wide conflict with guns and money.

14) Drones. The be-all and end-all of the Obama foreign policy, the apotheosis of technocratic power. Murderous sky-robots flown by ‘pilots’ using PS2 graphics. These will be escalated dramatically, and other countries will rush to get their own flying. It’s a brave new era of civilian massacres.

That’s enough for now. Happy Election Day!